REAL TIME NEWS
In yesterday's commentary, I anticipated USD selling on strength, which materialized despite Oracle's results causing some risk concerns. The USD extended its decline, with all sectors selling USD. With no significant data today, focus shifts to next week... In yesterday's commentary, I anticipated USD selling on strength, which materialized despite Oracle's results causing some risk concerns. Th
CADJPY Daily Trade SetupIn this update we review the recent price action in CADJPY and identify the next high-probability trading opportunity and price objectives to target. To review today's video analysis, click here!... CADJPY Daily Trade SetupIn this update we review the recent price action in CADJPY and identify the next high-probability trading opportunity and pric
Gold Pushing HigherGold prices are on course to end the week firmly higher, bolstered by a weaker Dollar which fell as traders digested the latest Fed rate cut mid-week. Along with the .25% cut, Powell signalled that the bank would be watching incoming data and res... Gold Pushing HigherGold prices are on course to end the week firmly higher, bolstered by a weaker Dollar which fell as traders digested the latest Fed
UK Data DisappointsThe rally in GBP is stalling today after some weaker-than-forecast UK data this morning. The ONS reported that UK GDP fell 0.1% in October, in contrast to the 0.1% increase expected. This marks the fourth consecutive month without growth and has ... UK Data DisappointsThe rally in GBP is stalling today after some weaker-than-forecast UK data this morning. The ONS reported that UK GDP fell 0.1% in
FTSE 100 FINISH LINE 12/12/25The main UK stock indexes initially rose on Friday before softening towards the close as U.S. market sentiment deteriorated. A surge in risk appetite reversed amid renewed concerns over AI valuations, which dented the Nasdaq by over 1%.... FTSE 100 FINISH LINE 12/12/25The main UK stock indexes initially rose on Friday before softening towards the close as U.S. market sentiment deteriorat
Title USDJPY H1 I Bullish bounce off Type Bullish bounce Preference: The price has bounced off the pivot at 154.96, which is an overlap support. A bounce at this level could lead the price toward the 1st resistance at 156.61, a pullback resistance. Alternative Scen... Title USDJPY H1 I Bullish bounce off Type Bullish bounce Preference: The price has bounced off the pivot at 154.96, which is an overlap support. A bou
Title USDCHF H4 | Bearish continuation Type Bearish drop Preference: The price is rising towards the pivot at 0.7970, a pullback resistance. A reversal from this level could lead the price toward the 1st support at 0.7894, a multi-swing low support. Alternative Sce... Title USDCHF H4 | Bearish continuation Type Bearish drop Preference: The price is rising towards the pivot at 0.7970, a pullback resistance. A reversa
Title XAUUSD H1 | Bullish continuation setup Type Bullish bouncePreference: The price is falling towards the pivot at 4,238.80, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. A bounce from this level could lead the price toward the 1s... Title XAUUSD H1 | Bullish continuation setup Type Bullish bouncePreference: The price is falling towards the pivot at 4,238.80, which is a pullback su
Daily Market Outlook, December 12, 2025 Patrick Munnelly, Partner: Market Strategy, Tickmill GroupMunnelly’s Macro Minute…Buyers returned to US stocks after worries about Oracle's plans for significant capital investments in artificial intelligence infrastruct... Daily Market Outlook, December 12, 2025 Patrick Munnelly, Partner: Market Strategy, Tickmill GroupMunnelly’s Macro Minute…Buyers returned to US stocks
USD: struggles all the way," highlights a shifting landscape in global foreign exchange as we approach the end of 2025. The core narrative drives a bearish outlook for the US Dollar following a "more dovish-than-expected" Federal Reserve meeting. The... USD: struggles all the way," highlights a shifting landscape in global foreign exchange as we approach the end of 2025. The core narrative drives

Investment Bank Outlook

Institutional Insights: Goldman Sachs SP500 Positioning & Key levels 25/11/25

Please refer below for a consolidated recap of the various GS Positioning metrics.Summary:1. CTA Corner:CTAs sold - $33 billion of global equities last week (-$13 billion of US equities). Positioning...

Institutional FX Insights: JPMorgan Trading Desk Views 24/11/25

EURComments from the FED’s Williams on Friday reignited the possibility of a rate cut next month, as he noted there is "still room for a further policy adjustment in the near term." This led...

Institutional Insights: Credit Agricole FX Weekly 21/11/25

The economic strength of the US amid the Trump administration's trade, fiscal, and immigration policies in 2025 has taken many by surprise. A significant factor contributing to this resilience is...

Institutional Insights:BofA FX Quant Insight USD bears revisit September NFP

BofA FX Quant Insight: USD bears revisit September NFPKey Takeaways- Bearish USD Sentiment:  - Increased bearish pressure on the USD as the US government shutdown ended, with the DXY index remaining...

Institutional Insights: JPMorgan Trading NFP

TRADING NFP – OCTOBER 2025 JPM US MARKET INTELLIGENCEUS MKT INTEL’S NFP SCENARIO ANALYSISFeroli’s sees 50k jobs being added, slightly below the Street’s estimate of 57k; in August, 22k jobs were...

Institutional FX Insights: JPMorgan Trading Desk Views 18/11/25

EURNavigating the market on a daily basis has become increasingly challenging. Honestly, I’m not even sure what I’m looking for these days—it’s all quite noisy. Deleveraging in other asset classes...

Institutional FX Insights: JPMorgan Trading Desk View 17/11/25

EURFX markets remain relatively rangebound with lower conviction, driven by the intraday volatility of equity market fluctuations. This week brings a significant amount of data, including September...

Institutional Insights: Credit Agricole FX Weekly 14/11/25

In contrast to previous historical trends, the USD has emerged strengthened from the longest US government shutdown, even though it has relinquished some ground in recent days within the G10 FX...

Institutional FX Insights: JPMorgan Trading Desk Views 13/11/25

EURThe government shutdown has officially ended, bringing some optimism for upcoming data releases next week. The dollar is showing softness, influenced by several factors: renewed market euphoria...